To Be Determined

Nov 7, 2023

The New York Times/Siene College poll paints a dark picture for President Biden who trails former President Trump in five of the six most important battleground states one year before the 2024 election.

Axios reported last week Democratic governors and senators were quietly moving to boost their national profiles and position themselves to run for president in 2028 – “or in 2024 if President Biden unexpectedly drops out.”

Axios says half a dozen Democratic lawmakers have established national political organizations, embarked on resume building foreign trips and visited states that traditionally hold early presidential primaries.

Among those mentioned are Illinois Gov. J. B. Pritzker, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and California Rep. Ko Khanna and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, who ran in 2020 for president and has $10 million on hand which could be transfer to a 2024 campaign.  Pritzker established “Think Big America” using his personal wealth to fund abortion rights ballot initiatives.

A national political organization “Fight Like Hell PAC” “Campaign for Democracy” and “Think Big America” has been formed by Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Pritzker.

U.S. Representative Dean Phillips of Minnesota announced his presidential candidacy last week. Vice President Kamala Harris has increased her travel. Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. grabbed 22 percent in a Quinnipiac University survey in a three-way race against Biden and Trump.  It’s been speculated West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin will lead the No Labels ticket for president.

Getting on the ballot will be a challenge for any of these late comers. Should Biden leave the race before 2024 there may be time for them to get on some state ballots.  No Labels already is on in 10 states.

Here’s where it gets interesting.  If Biden left after the first of the year the nomination fight would go to the Democrat National Convention.